In recent weeks, reports have saturated the media claiming that PM Netanyahu was warned about an impending Hamas attack by Egypt, the UAE, Ronen Bar, probably hundreds of others, and ignored them. No report has been corroborated in the slightest, which has not stopped his foes from using this information as campaign fodder to try to unseat him as prime minister. Indeed, that is the sole purpose of these reports, which reminded me that this is a movie that I have seen twice before.
A look at the reaction to similar catastrophes in the United States is instructive. The two analogous intelligence failures in American history were the bombings of Pearl Harbor by Japan on December 7, 1941(roughly 2400 Americans killed) and the Arab terror attack of September 11, 2001 (roughly 3000 Americans killed).
On May 16, 2002, just six months before the midterm elections in the United States, the New York Times breathlessly reported that on August 6, 2001, scarcely a month before the Arab terror attack of September 11, President George W. Bush was warned by the CIA (!), with the Presidential Daily Brief headlined, “Bin Laden Determined to Strike in US.” The criticism was thunderous and caustic, with Bush lambasted for his indifference to this report (he received it while vacationing in Texas) and his failure to respond.
Almost two years later (well into his reelection campaign), Bush released the full text of the briefing and explained that this warning meant nothing. Bin Laden was “determined,” but the CIA provided no details of what he was planning or when and where he planned to do it. Essentially, Bush said, someone “who hated America” was going to attack, and the FBI since 1998 had detected “patterns of suspicious activity consistent with preparations for hijackings or other types of attacks” (italics mine), none of which was any actionable intelligence. The briefing said nothing that Bush didn’t already know but that did not prevent the Times from falsely claiming that Bush was actually told who was planning an attack, with “hints” of what the attacks would be and where they would occur. Not quite accurate – but the leak was meant to cause political harm to Bush, not reflect historical reality.
Similarly, soon after the Japanese sneak attack, reports circulated in the United States – it continued for years – that FDR knew about the Japanese attack in advance but did not respond because he was seeking to enter the US into World War II. Nothing came of either accusation which was devoid of credible evidence but such accusations persist until today.
This is what is happening here and now in Israel – and we can expect a few more such excited offerings in the coming weeks from the anti-Netanyahu media, none of which will be true but all of which are designed to suppress his vote from a public the leftist media believes can be easily manipulated.
It is as if someone three years ago or today said that Hamas, or Hezbollah, or Iran is planning a terrorist attack against Israel. Yes, duh, one or another group of Arabs have been planning attacks on Jews for more than a century…and are still planning. The purpose of this hysteria is purely political. Not a shred of credible evidence has ever been adduced that suggests that Netanyahu had actionable intelligence that a Hamas attack on October 7, 2023, was imminent – just allegations repudiated by the purported sources. In fact, the opposite seems to be the case – that actionable intelligence was concealed from Netanyahu, before and even as the massacre was unfolding, and by some of the very people who are now leaking to the tendentious media to impugn Netanyahu and salvage their own battered reputations.
This is not to suggest that Netanyahu bears no responsibility for the massacre. He certainly does, as the prime minister, but the problem his enemies have to contend with is that responsibility is shared by almost everyone in the political class, the military and security establishment, the courts, and the media. No one is immune from criticism, including some of his biggest critics. It was a colossal, systemic failure.
Yet, the failure was so widespread and the flawed intelligence so pervasive that it is fair to say that the Hamas massacre would have taken place regardless of which party was in power on October 7, 2023.
It is also fair to say, in retrospect, that what has happened since October 8, 2023 – the devastation of our enemies on multiple fronts, the deterioration of Hamas and Hezbollah, the battering of Iran, the disintegration of the Syrian threat, and Israel’s emergence as the leading regional power – could only have happened under Netanyahu.
Most of the political establishment would have within months cut a cease fire deal that returned the hostages and let Hamas survive, rebuild, and regenerate, and never attacked Hezbollah.
In truth, the antipathy towards Netanyahu from his adversaries in politics and media long preceded October 7. What remains a mystery is the differing reactions of Israeli and American societies to national traumas.
No American hung placards saying that “FDR is guilty!” or that “Bush failed!” No American highways were littered with signs calling on either president to resign or be incarcerated. Indeed – timely message to Netanyahu’s irrational haters – both FDR and Bush were reelected, approximately three years after their respective catastrophes. Both men were judged for what they did in the aftermath of the attack and less for not anticipating what they did not know.
Additionally, the Israeli media, goading the public, has a peculiar obsession with hearing (and recording) Netanyahu saying the words “I am responsible.” This is not because they are avid proponents of the “Jewish Ethic of Personal Responsibility,” a two-volume work I published years ago, but because they want to use the clip of “I am responsible” to open and close the evening news and flash it several dozen times in between.
For the record, neither FDR nor George W. Bush ever accepted responsibility for their respective failures. In FDR’s famous speech to Congress on December 8, he said nothing about his own role. In Bush’s address on the evening of September 11, and in a subsequent speech to Congress several weeks later, there was nothing remotely close to an acceptance of responsibility. The focus was on the enemy. The obsession here is purely political and personal.
FDR and the American people blamed Japan and waged against it a brutal war of unconditional surrender. Bush and the American people blamed Al Qaeda and fought it for two decades. Yet, too many Israelis blame Netanyahu and let Hamas off the hook. Who is the enemy? Not Hamas but Netanyahu. That is pathological.
Certainly, there are differences in the two forms of government. Israel’s parliamentary system has a history of prime ministers resigning, whereas no US president (except for Nixon) has ever resigned. But that does not mean it couldn’t have happened. And both FDR and Bush acted immediately. Within days, FDR fired Husband Kimmel, the head of the Pacific fleet, and appointed Chester Nimitz to succeed him. Contrast that with Netanyahu’s inability – owing to the corruption and even sordidness of Israel’s courts and Attorney General – to fire the heads of the IDF, Army Intelligence, the Southern Command, and Shin Bet despite their blatant failures on and before October 7. Strange indeed.
President Bush rallied the nation and began a long campaign called “the War on Terror,” which, despite avoidable and unavoidable errors, and with the involvement of his successors, has kept the US safe from similar terrorist attacks in the quarter century past, and dispatched Saddam Hussein, Osama bin Laden, and Qasem Soleimani to the nether world. And FDR rallied the American people to fight a two-front war for four years in which more than 400,000 American soldiers were killed.
Nevertheless, it should be underscored, the Muslim war against the world has not ended, not here obviously, and not against the West, and all non-Muslim nations remain targets.
Are we preternaturally different as a nation that many are hellbent on ascribing blame to someone, soon, especially someone so detested by the media? The oddity is that the media hope to replace Netanyahu, liable in their eyes for October 7, with another person who is perhaps even more liable for October 7. Those who advocated and recommended the coddling and funding of Hamas, were reluctant to eliminate it when given the opportunity, neglected the tunnel networks of Hamas and Hezbollah, and proposed a “small and smart army” should be kept far from politics. People whose policies created the conceptziya that engendered the catastrophic intelligence failures are the problem, not the solution, and the proof is that their campaigns are devoid of substance beyond “anti-Bibi” and platitudes. And yet they are all running.
His opponents are running on October 7. Netanyahu is running on October 8 and beyond.
Who is responsible for the colossal failure of October 7? Here is a brief list: Netanyahu, Gallant, Herzi Halevi, Aharon Haliva, Ronen Bar, Benny Gantz, Gadi Eisenkot, Yaron Finkelman, Yair Lapid, Yair Golan, Naftali Bennett, and others, and everyone who endorsed the conceptziya. Add to that list Ariel Sharon, Ehud Olmert, Shimon Peres, Yitzchak Rabin, and Yossi Beilin who thought it was a grand idea to invite terrorists into Israel and arm them. Add to that list the Supreme Court and the Military Prosecutor who imposed Draconian “open fire” laws on our soldiers that effectively preempted a meaningful response and counted it among the highest aspirations of Jewish morality never to win a war.
This is one reason why true accountability for what happened on October 7 will not come for fifty years. Every branch of government, and almost every political figure for the last 35 years, has something to hide.
And add to that list the segment of the Israeli public that, had Netanyahu been apprised of Hamas’ plans and launched a preemptive strike on October 6, would have accused him of fomenting a war to distract from his legal problems. And there are plenty of others.
We are not the only country in the world in which many people have a neurotic hatred for an elected leader. But we are the only country that has real enemies that want to destroy us. We would do well as a nation to recall the words of the late Rabbi Jonathan Sacks: “The Jewish people right now needs leaders, people unafraid to face the challenges of today and build for tomorrow instead of, as so often happens, fighting the battles of yesterday.”



